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Noelle I Samia

Associate Professor of Statistics and Data Science; Ad Hoc MS in Applied Statistics Program Director; NSF-Simons SkAI Institute Senior Personnel

Ph.D. University of Iowa

Research Interests

Space-time analysis for serially dependent data; Nonlinear time-series modeling and threshold models for serially correlated, nonstationary, heteroscedastic, count time-series data and continuous time-series data; Spatio-temporal change-point and anomaly detection; Statistical inference for infectious diseases and epidemiology; Statistical ecology; Statistical applications to biomedical research/psychology/sociology; Environmental research; Qualitative statistics; Small sample size methods; Astro AI.

Research Statement

My research interests focus on introducing and developing new statistical linear and nonlinear (including threshold) models/approaches for panels of nonstationary, serially correlated, heteroscedastic, count and continuous time-series data. My work is both, theoretical and applied in nature. Through cross-disciplinary collaborations, these advanced and often new statistical methodologies are tailored to each specific application with the aim of explaining the dynamics of complex biological systems, in the areas of infectious diseases and epidemiology, statistical ecology, and biomedical research, to name a few. My research is highly cross-disciplinary with work in the following fields: psychology and behavioral sciences, medicine, infectious diseases and epidemiology, social sciences, environmental sciences and ecology, global health, and public policy. Recently, through the newly funded NSF-Simons SkAI institute, I collaborate with researchers across disciplines to make contributions to the field of Astro AI and the scientific community at large.

Selected Publications

Ellyn Butler, Noelle I. Samia, Amanda Mejia et al. (2025). Sex differences in response to violence: Role of salience network expansion and connectivity on depression. Translational Psychiatry (in press).

Samia NI, Stramer O, Saitoh T, Stenseth NC. Climate-driven context-dependent structure of population cycles. R Soc Open Sci. 2024 Aug;11(8):240047. PubMed Central PMCID: PMC11349440.

Butler, E. R., Samia, N., White, S., Gratton, C. and Nusslock, R. (2024). Neuroimmune mechanisms connecting violence with internalizing symptoms: A high-dimensional multimodal mediation analysis. Human Brain Mapping, 45(2), e26615. https://doi.org/10.1002/hbm.26615

Samia, N.I., Robicsek, A., Heesterbeek, H. and Peterson, L.R. (2022). Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus (MRSA) nosocomial infection has a distinct epidemiological position and acts as a marker for overall hospital infection control trends. Scientific Reports, 12, doi:10.1038/s41598-022-21300-6.

Stefely, J.A., Gailey, M.P., Knudson, C.M., Dumont, L.J., Raife, T.J. and Samia, N.I. (2020). Retrospective cohort studies of repeat donors reveal donor dependent variability in the recovery of transfused platelets. Transfusion, 60 (8): 1837-1845.

Chin, V., Samia, N.I., Marchant, R., Rosen, O., Ioannidis, J.P.A., Tanner, M.A. and Cripps, S. (2020). A case study in model failure? COVID-19 daily deaths and ICU bed utilisation predictions in New York state. European Journal of Epidemiology, 35 (8), 733-742.

Peterson, L.R., Samia, N.I., Skinner, A.M., Chopra, A. and Smith, B. (2017). Antimicrobial Stewardship Lessons From Mupirocin Use and Resistance in Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus. Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 4 (2): ofx093. doi:10.1093/ofid/ofx093.